Post by Renae/k9do on Aug 13, 2022 0:10:39 GMT
Solar activity did a rebound this week, back to more active levels.
Average daily sunspot number increased from 36.6 to 65.4.
Average daily 10.7 cm solar flux rose from 95.7 to 111.9.
Solar wind caused geomagnetic numbers to rise, with average
planetary A index going from 7.7 to 14.4, and middle latitude
numbers from 8.6 to 12.1.
An improved outlook shows solar flux over the next month peaking at
116 on September 2 to 4. The forecast from USAF/NOAA on Thursday
evening was improved from Wednesday.
A look at ARLP032 from 2021 gives a perspective on solar cycle
progress. A year ago, average sunspot number was 6 and average
solar flux was just 74.8. Quite a difference from 65.4 and 111.9
during the past week.
Predicted flux values are 115 on August 12 to 14, 110 on August 15
to 18, 108 on August 19, 104 on August 20 and 21, then 98, 100, 102,
100, 102, and 100 on August 22 to 27, then 102 on August 28 to 30,
then 108 and 114 on August 31 and September 1, 116 on September 2 to
4, 112 on September 5 to 7. 110 on September 8 and 9, then 108 on
September 10 to 12, 106 on September 13, then 104 on September 14 to
16, 102 on September 17 and 98 on September 18.
Predicted planetary A index is 12 on August 12, 5 on August 13 to 16
then 10, 12 and 15 on August 17 to 19, 8 on August 20 and 21, 5 on
August 22 to 26, 12 on August 27, 8 on August 28 to 30, 5 on August
31 through September 2, then 14, 18, 14, 10 and 8 on September 3 to
7, and 5 on September 8 to 12, then 22 on September 13, 15 on
September 14 and 15, 8 on September 16, and 5 on September 17 to 22.
Sunspot numbers for August 4 through 10, 2022 were 52, 69, 69, 87,
63, 58, and 60, with a mean of 65.4. 10.7 cm flux was 108.8, 112.2,
116.3, 116.1, 113, 109.4, and 107.6, with a mean of 111.9.
Estimated planetary A indices were 6, 6, 4, 24, 31, 19, and 11, with
a mean of 14.4. Middle latitude A index was 7, 7, 5, 20, 21, 15,
and 10, with a mean of 12.1.
Average daily sunspot number increased from 36.6 to 65.4.
Average daily 10.7 cm solar flux rose from 95.7 to 111.9.
Solar wind caused geomagnetic numbers to rise, with average
planetary A index going from 7.7 to 14.4, and middle latitude
numbers from 8.6 to 12.1.
An improved outlook shows solar flux over the next month peaking at
116 on September 2 to 4. The forecast from USAF/NOAA on Thursday
evening was improved from Wednesday.
A look at ARLP032 from 2021 gives a perspective on solar cycle
progress. A year ago, average sunspot number was 6 and average
solar flux was just 74.8. Quite a difference from 65.4 and 111.9
during the past week.
Predicted flux values are 115 on August 12 to 14, 110 on August 15
to 18, 108 on August 19, 104 on August 20 and 21, then 98, 100, 102,
100, 102, and 100 on August 22 to 27, then 102 on August 28 to 30,
then 108 and 114 on August 31 and September 1, 116 on September 2 to
4, 112 on September 5 to 7. 110 on September 8 and 9, then 108 on
September 10 to 12, 106 on September 13, then 104 on September 14 to
16, 102 on September 17 and 98 on September 18.
Predicted planetary A index is 12 on August 12, 5 on August 13 to 16
then 10, 12 and 15 on August 17 to 19, 8 on August 20 and 21, 5 on
August 22 to 26, 12 on August 27, 8 on August 28 to 30, 5 on August
31 through September 2, then 14, 18, 14, 10 and 8 on September 3 to
7, and 5 on September 8 to 12, then 22 on September 13, 15 on
September 14 and 15, 8 on September 16, and 5 on September 17 to 22.
Sunspot numbers for August 4 through 10, 2022 were 52, 69, 69, 87,
63, 58, and 60, with a mean of 65.4. 10.7 cm flux was 108.8, 112.2,
116.3, 116.1, 113, 109.4, and 107.6, with a mean of 111.9.
Estimated planetary A indices were 6, 6, 4, 24, 31, 19, and 11, with
a mean of 14.4. Middle latitude A index was 7, 7, 5, 20, 21, 15,
and 10, with a mean of 12.1.